Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions
The Baltimore Orioles (35-44) and Minnesota Twins (45-36) finish their 3-game series Sunday at Target Field with 1st pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Orioles vs. Twinsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Twins lead 4-2
Minnesota became the first AL team to have back-to-back walk-off losses followed by back-to-back walk-off wins. Saturday's 4-3 win came on a Jose Miranda single. Friday's 3-2 win also featured a 2-run 9th-inning rally.
The Orioles have not been swept in a series since May and they will need a strong outing to prevent it Sunday. Baltimore's pitchers have been surprisingly good in the first 2 games of this series. RHP Spenser Watkins gave up 1 run in 6 IP Friday and RHP Jordan Lyles gave up 1 run in 6.1 IP Saturday.
The Twins, who are 25-17 at home, have struggled to generate offense and will face a tough matchup in the finale.
Orioles at Twins projected starters
RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP
Wells (6-4, 3.23 ERA) will make his 16th start this season. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.
- Last start against the Twins: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 2-1 loss May 2
- Has a 5-1 record with 2.19 ERA in his last 7 starts
Smeltzer (4-1, 2.86 ERA) to make his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision in 3-2 loss at Cleveland June 28 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K
- His 2.86 is lowest ERA in his 4-year career
Orioles at Twins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:28 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Home -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 8.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let's make this interesting.Bet now!
Orioles at Twins picks and predictions
Orioles 6, Twins 4
LEAN ORIOLES (+145)
The Orioles have played their best baseball against the AL Central going 5-2 in their last 7. They also play much better against left-handed starters, where they bat .291 when they put the ball in play.
Earlier this season they prevented the Twins from winning 3 in a row by scoring 9 runs of 12 hits. And now they are bringing in their best pitcher in Wells.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
LEAN ORIOLES +1.5 (-140)
If we are betting Baltimore to win then the +1.5 insurance is a no-brainer. The Orioles have covered in every game this series, and should have won both outright. They now cover 63.3% of the time this season.
Both pitchers have low strikeout percentages - Wells at 15.5% and Smeltzer at 15.8%. Both are career lows so expect the OVER (-130), especially since the Twins and Orioles are in the top half of extra-base percentage. Also the Over has hit in each of the last 5 home games for the Twins when the total is set between 7.0-8.5.
Additional MLB coverage:
Gannettmay earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).