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Kansas City Royals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and best bets

Johnny Parlay
Sportsbook Wire

The Kansas City Royals (3-7) visit the Chicago Cubs (7-2) in the first tilt of a four-game, home-and-home series Monday at Wrigley Field - first pitch is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET. We analyze the Royals-Cubs MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Sunday: The Royals lost 9-2 to the Chicago White Sox, suffering a third straight loss while getting swept at home. The Cubs, meanwhile, won a third in a row, squeaking by the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in 11 innings to complete a weekend sweep.

Royals at Cubs: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Danny Duffy vs. RHP Alec Mills

Duffy this season: 0-1, 5.79 ERA (6 ER, 9 1/3 IP), 10 K in 2 starts

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 ER, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K at Detroit Tigers Wednesday - Royals lost 5-4
  • Last season: 7-6, 4.34 (63 ER, 130 2/3 IP), 115 K in 23 starts
  • 2019 on road: 3-3, 4.39 ERA (26 ER, 53 1/3 IP) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (2 ER, 7 IP) 1 home start in 2011

Mills this season: 1-0, 3.00 (2 ER, 6 IP), 3 K in 1 start

  • Last start: Win, 2 ER, 6 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K at Cincinnati Reds Tuesday - Cubs won 8-5
  • Last season: 1-0, 2.75 ERA (11 ER, 36 IP) 42 K in 4 starts and 5 relief appearances
  • Career at Wrigley: 1-1, 3.64 ERA (12 ER, 29 2/3 IP) in 9 games, including 4 starts

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Royals at Cubs: Key injuries

( List of injuries around the league)

Royals

  • 3B Hunter Dozier (COVID-19) out
  • SS Adalberto Mondesi (quadriceps) questionable

Cubs

  • 3B Kris Bryant (stomach illness) questionable
  • RP Brad Wieck (hamstring) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Royals at Cubs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Cubs 5, Royals 2

Moneyline (ML)

The CUBS ( -150) are the STRONGEST PLAY. Not only does the pitching matchup favor Chicago over Kansas City (+135), but the Cubs have the better offense, too. Among all 30 MLB teams, they rank in the top five in runs (50), homers (15), and OBP (.343), which doesn't bode well for a Royals staff touting a 4.45 ERA.

One thing to worry about, however, is the Cubs bullpen ranking last with an 8.07 ERA.

New to sports betting? Every $1.50 bet on the Cubs profits $1 if they win.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID. If I had to pick, I'd actually lean toward the Royals (+1, -115), who are 6-4 vs. the RL this season. The Cubs (-1, -106) are 4-5 vs. the RL, including back-to-back one-run wins Saturday and Sunday. I'll PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 ( -115) is the play. The Cubs are 2-4 O/U at Wrigley, while the Royals are 2-5 O/U on the road.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Johnny's 2020 MLB record

12-7

2020 overall record

48-32-1

Strongest plays

25-14

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